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Projects & competitions Sep – Oct 2022

S&P Global Market Intelligence Corporate Valuation Challenge

Investment analysis · ExxonMobil

Analyzed ExxonMobil through industry research, business-segment analysis, financial diagnostics, and valuation. The project examined how the 2022 energy-market context and company operations informed a value assessment.

Industry & financial research / ExxonMobil
Cash-flow valuationFCFF / DCFDiscounted using WACC
Comparable companiesP/EEV/EBITDA
Financial-analysis dimensionsProfitability / Solvency / Efficiency
Two perspectives on company valueAnalysis at a glance

Context and objective

Analyzed ExxonMobil through industry research, business-segment analysis, financial diagnostics, and valuation. The project examined how the 2022 energy-market context and company operations informed a value assessment.

The research formed part of the S&P Global Market Intelligence Corporate Valuation Challenge. It connected industry and company analysis, historical financial performance, and valuation methods to support a judgment about company value.

The industry environment

Assessed how the Russia–Ukraine conflict, OPEC+ production cuts, and the energy transition affected oil and gas supply, demand, and prices. Connected the external environment with the company’s operating context.

The industry work established a context for the company analysis: supply, demand, and prices shaped the operating environment, while the energy transition raised longer-term competitive questions. These considerations were examined alongside the company’s business structure.

Business segments and peers

Benchmarked Shell and BP and examined ExxonMobil’s upstream, downstream, and chemicals businesses. Evaluated advantages and risks associated with scale, integrated operations, and the low-carbon transition.

Considering upstream, downstream, and chemicals activities helped explain the integrated business. International peer comparisons provided a reference for assessing advantages and risks.

Financial performance and operating quality

Analyzed margins, ROA, ROE, liquidity, leverage, and turnover against historical results to assess profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency.

Financial-analysis framework
DimensionMeasures and focus
ProfitabilityMargins, ROA, and ROE to examine profits and returns on assets and equity.
SolvencyLiquidity and leverage to examine the funding structure and ability to meet obligations.
Operating efficiencyTurnover measures and historical performance to examine resource use and operations.

Cash-flow valuation and comparables

Built an FCFF-based DCF framework, estimated WACC, and cross-checked the assessment using P/E and EV/EBITDA comparables. Connected cash-flow valuation with market multiples in the final value judgment.

Connecting valuation methods
MethodRole in the analysis
FCFF / DCFA discounted cash-flow framework based on free cash flow to the firm.
WACCAn estimate of the weighted average cost of capital for discounting cash flows.
P/E / EV/EBITDAComparable-company market multiples used to cross-check the value assessment.

Outcome and learning

Honorable Mention in the S&P Global Market Intelligence Corporate Valuation Challenge.

The project connected the industry environment, company structure, financial indicators, and valuation methods in a single analytical chain, strengthening the relationship between financial analysis and commercial judgment.

Outcome & delivery

Honorable Mention in the S&P Global Market Intelligence Corporate Valuation Challenge.

  • Industry research
  • Financial ratios
  • FCFF / DCF
  • WACC
  • P/E · EV/EBITDA